{"id":5764,"date":"2023-03-03T13:36:10","date_gmt":"2023-03-03T13:36:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/?p=5764"},"modified":"2023-03-03T13:36:12","modified_gmt":"2023-03-03T13:36:12","slug":"fallas-de-expectativas-y-heuristicas-en-fluctuaciones-un-analisis-empirico","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/?p=5764","title":{"rendered":"Fallas de expectativas y heur\u00edsticas en fluctuaciones: un an\u00e1lisis emp\u00edrico"},"content":{"rendered":"<iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wonderplugin-pdf-iframe\" src=\"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/wp-content\/plugins\/wonderplugin-pdf-embed\/pdfjslight\/web\/viewer.html?v=2&file=https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/works\/works2022\/4561.pdf\" width=\"100%\" height=\"600px\" style=\"border:0;\"><\/iframe>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u00abSe capturan algunas propiedades emp\u00edricas de la relaci\u00f3n entre consumo e ingreso<br \/>\nen diferentes etapas del ciclo para un panel global y se investiga sus conexiones<br \/>\ncon las fallas de expectativas y\/o con el uso de heur\u00edsticas. Se halla que las propensiones<br \/>\na consumir de las tasas de crecimiento (PMC): (i) muestran un valor<br \/>\nclaramente positivo y significativo cualquiera sea el per\u00edodo considerado, en especial<br \/>\nen pa\u00edses en desarrollo; (ii) aumenta en las expansiones del ingreso de 2 o<br \/>\n3 per\u00edodos consecutivos, en especial en pa\u00edses desarrollados; y (iii) se mantienen<br \/>\naproximadamente constantes dentro y fuera de la tendencia en los pa\u00edses menos<br \/>\nricos. Esta evidencia es consistente con (a) el rechazo a la teor\u00eda tradicional; (b)<br \/>\nentusiasmos exagerados en momentos de expansi\u00f3n en los pa\u00edses m\u00e1s ricos; y (c) el<br \/>\nuso general de heur\u00edsticas en los pa\u00edses de menor ingreso.\u00bb<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[29],"tags":[30],"class_list":["post-5764","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-anales","tag-aaep-anales-2022"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Fallas de expectativas y heur\u00edsticas en fluctuaciones: un an\u00e1lisis emp\u00edrico - Asociaci\u00f3n Argentina de Econom\u00eda Pol\u00edtica<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Fallas de expectativas y heur\u00edsticas en fluctuaciones: un an\u00e1lisis emp\u00edrico - Asociaci\u00f3n Argentina de Econom\u00eda Pol\u00edtica\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"&quot;Se capturan algunas propiedades emp\u00edricas de la relaci\u00f3n entre consumo e ingreso en diferentes etapas del ciclo para un panel global y se investiga sus conexiones con las fallas de expectativas y\/o con el uso de heur\u00edsticas. Se halla que las propensiones a consumir de las tasas de crecimiento (PMC): (i) muestran un valor claramente positivo y significativo cualquiera sea el per\u00edodo considerado, en especial en pa\u00edses en desarrollo; (ii) aumenta en las expansiones del ingreso de 2 o 3 per\u00edodos consecutivos, en especial en pa\u00edses desarrollados; y (iii) se mantienen aproximadamente constantes dentro y fuera de la tendencia en los pa\u00edses menos ricos. Esta evidencia es consistente con (a) el rechazo a la teor\u00eda tradicional; (b) entusiasmos exagerados en momentos de expansi\u00f3n en los pa\u00edses m\u00e1s ricos; y (c) el uso general de heur\u00edsticas en los pa\u00edses de menor ingreso.&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/?p=5764\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Asociaci\u00f3n Argentina de Econom\u00eda Pol\u00edtica\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-03-03T13:36:10+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-03-03T13:36:12+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"aaepolitica\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@aaepoficial\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@aaepoficial\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Escrito por\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"aaepolitica\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aaep.org.ar\\\/?p=5764#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aaep.org.ar\\\/?p=5764\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"aaepolitica\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aaep.org.ar\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/7150b747ba20875259c74b2cd177316c\"},\"headline\":\"Fallas de expectativas y heur\u00edsticas en fluctuaciones: un an\u00e1lisis emp\u00edrico\",\"datePublished\":\"2023-03-03T13:36:10+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2023-03-03T13:36:12+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aaep.org.ar\\\/?p=5764\"},\"wordCount\":28,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aaep.org.ar\\\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"AAEP Anales 2022\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Anales\"],\"inLanguage\":\"es\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aaep.org.ar\\\/?p=5764\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aaep.org.ar\\\/?p=5764\",\"name\":\"Fallas de expectativas y heur\u00edsticas en fluctuaciones: un an\u00e1lisis emp\u00edrico - 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