{"id":5797,"date":"2023-03-03T14:00:27","date_gmt":"2023-03-03T14:00:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/?p=5797"},"modified":"2023-03-03T14:00:30","modified_gmt":"2023-03-03T14:00:30","slug":"politica-fiscal-optima-sobre-recursos-no-renovables-y-commodities-agricolas-en-un-modelo-con-politicos-self-interested","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/?p=5797","title":{"rendered":"Pol\u00edtica fiscal \u00f3ptima sobre recursos no renovables y commodities agr\u00edcolas en un modelo con pol\u00edticos self- interested"},"content":{"rendered":"<iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wonderplugin-pdf-iframe\" src=\"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/wp-content\/plugins\/wonderplugin-pdf-embed\/pdfjslight\/web\/viewer.html?v=2&file=https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/works\/works2022\/4569.pdf\" width=\"100%\" height=\"600px\" style=\"border:0;\"><\/iframe>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Este paper busca determinar la pol\u00edtica fiscal \u00f3ptima en un modelo de equilibrio general din\u00e1mico y estoc\u00e1stico para una econom\u00eda abierta peque\u00f1a, sujeta a shocks en el precio de su commodity, donde el gobierno se compone de pol\u00edticos self-interested. El modelo se basa en el trabajo de Yared (2010) donde, adem\u00e1s de las condiciones de equilibrio econ\u00f3mico eficiente, se contemplan las restricciones de sustentabilidad pol\u00edtica. El juego entre ciudadanos y pol\u00edticos se construye mediante restricciones de compatibilidad de incentivos, cuya \u201ctirantez\u201d est\u00e1 determinada tanto por elementos de corto plazo como por elementos estructurales o de largo plazo. En su din\u00e1mica de corto plazo, el modelo predice una mayor preponderancia de un comportamiento proc\u00edclico de la pol\u00edtica fiscal en gastos y tasas impositivas ante shocks en los precios de los commodities, con una respuesta diferenciada seg\u00fan el commodity sea agr\u00edcola o un recurso no renovable. Tanto los niveles de reservas de los recursos no renovables como variables institucionales generan predicciones que pueden reforzar o contrarrestar los efectos de los precios. Las predicciones del modelo permiten racionalizar ciertos hechos observados en las principales econom\u00edas latinoamericanas, diferenci\u00e1ndose aquellas cuyo commodity principal es un recurso no renovable (Chile, Bolivia, Per\u00fa, Ecuador, Colombia), de aquellas cuyo principal bien de exportaci\u00f3n es un producto agr\u00edcola (Argentina, Brasil, Uruguay y Paraguay).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[29],"tags":[30],"class_list":["post-5797","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-anales","tag-aaep-anales-2022"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Pol\u00edtica fiscal \u00f3ptima sobre recursos no renovables y commodities agr\u00edcolas en un modelo con pol\u00edticos self- interested - Asociaci\u00f3n Argentina de Econom\u00eda Pol\u00edtica<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Pol\u00edtica fiscal \u00f3ptima sobre recursos no renovables y commodities agr\u00edcolas en un modelo con pol\u00edticos self- interested - Asociaci\u00f3n Argentina de Econom\u00eda Pol\u00edtica\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Este paper busca determinar la pol\u00edtica fiscal \u00f3ptima en un modelo de equilibrio general din\u00e1mico y estoc\u00e1stico para una econom\u00eda abierta peque\u00f1a, sujeta a shocks en el precio de su commodity, donde el gobierno se compone de pol\u00edticos self-interested. El modelo se basa en el trabajo de Yared (2010) donde, adem\u00e1s de las condiciones de equilibrio econ\u00f3mico eficiente, se contemplan las restricciones de sustentabilidad pol\u00edtica. El juego entre ciudadanos y pol\u00edticos se construye mediante restricciones de compatibilidad de incentivos, cuya \u201ctirantez\u201d est\u00e1 determinada tanto por elementos de corto plazo como por elementos estructurales o de largo plazo. En su din\u00e1mica de corto plazo, el modelo predice una mayor preponderancia de un comportamiento proc\u00edclico de la pol\u00edtica fiscal en gastos y tasas impositivas ante shocks en los precios de los commodities, con una respuesta diferenciada seg\u00fan el commodity sea agr\u00edcola o un recurso no renovable. Tanto los niveles de reservas de los recursos no renovables como variables institucionales generan predicciones que pueden reforzar o contrarrestar los efectos de los precios. Las predicciones del modelo permiten racionalizar ciertos hechos observados en las principales econom\u00edas latinoamericanas, diferenci\u00e1ndose aquellas cuyo commodity principal es un recurso no renovable (Chile, Bolivia, Per\u00fa, Ecuador, Colombia), de aquellas cuyo principal bien de exportaci\u00f3n es un producto agr\u00edcola (Argentina, Brasil, Uruguay y Paraguay).\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/?p=5797\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Asociaci\u00f3n Argentina de Econom\u00eda Pol\u00edtica\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-03-03T14:00:27+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-03-03T14:00:30+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"aaepolitica\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@aaepoficial\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@aaepoficial\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Escrito por\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"aaepolitica\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aaep.org.ar\\\/?p=5797#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aaep.org.ar\\\/?p=5797\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"aaepolitica\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aaep.org.ar\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/7150b747ba20875259c74b2cd177316c\"},\"headline\":\"Pol\u00edtica fiscal \u00f3ptima sobre recursos no renovables y commodities agr\u00edcolas en un modelo con pol\u00edticos self- interested\",\"datePublished\":\"2023-03-03T14:00:27+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2023-03-03T14:00:30+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aaep.org.ar\\\/?p=5797\"},\"wordCount\":35,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aaep.org.ar\\\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"AAEP Anales 2022\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Anales\"],\"inLanguage\":\"es\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aaep.org.ar\\\/?p=5797\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aaep.org.ar\\\/?p=5797\",\"name\":\"Pol\u00edtica fiscal \u00f3ptima sobre recursos no renovables y commodities agr\u00edcolas en un modelo con pol\u00edticos self- interested - 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