{"id":7151,"date":"2023-12-05T21:04:54","date_gmt":"2023-12-05T21:04:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/?p=7151"},"modified":"2023-12-05T21:04:56","modified_gmt":"2023-12-05T21:04:56","slug":"firms-price-expectations-an-empirical-analysis-using-bcras-survey-of-business-economic-perspectives","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/?p=7151","title":{"rendered":"Firm\u2019s Price Expectations: An Empirical Analysis using BCRAs\u2019 Survey of Business Economic Perspectives"},"content":{"rendered":"<iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wonderplugin-pdf-iframe\" src=\"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/wp-content\/plugins\/wonderplugin-pdf-embed\/pdfjslight\/web\/viewer.html?v=2&file=https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/works\/works2023\/4650.pdf\" width=\"100%\" height=\"600px\" style=\"border:0;\"><\/iframe>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA) implements a monthly Survey of Business Economic Perspectives to capture the business climate and economic perspectives. The survey, includes both qualitative and quantitative questions on past and expected change in different economic variables of the main companies in Argentina. This unique proprietary data is used to approximate the price setting behaviour of the firms in the domestic markets. We postulate an econometric model where the firms\u2019 dynamic on their expected domestic prices are based on (i) firm\u2019s past and expected information (prices, input costs and inventories) and (ii) macroeconomic variables (economic activity, foreign exchange rate, interest rate and inflation rate). The results indicate the importance of input costs (domestic and imported) and the macroeconomic variables (especially the exchange rate and the inflation rate) in the expected price dynamics of the analyzed companies and are in line with the literature analyzing price setting behaviour under macroeconomic uncertainty. Foreign exchange rate pass-through, markups on input prices and forward-looking behaviour in price setting generate important challenges for the anti inflationary monetary policy.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[29],"tags":[31],"class_list":["post-7151","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-anales","tag-aaep-anales-2023"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Firm\u2019s Price Expectations: An Empirical Analysis using BCRAs\u2019 Survey of Business Economic Perspectives - Asociaci\u00f3n Argentina de Econom\u00eda Pol\u00edtica<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Firm\u2019s Price Expectations: An Empirical Analysis using BCRAs\u2019 Survey of Business Economic Perspectives - Asociaci\u00f3n Argentina de Econom\u00eda Pol\u00edtica\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA) implements a monthly Survey of Business Economic Perspectives to capture the business climate and economic perspectives. The survey, includes both qualitative and quantitative questions on past and expected change in different economic variables of the main companies in Argentina. This unique proprietary data is used to approximate the price setting behaviour of the firms in the domestic markets. We postulate an econometric model where the firms\u2019 dynamic on their expected domestic prices are based on (i) firm\u2019s past and expected information (prices, input costs and inventories) and (ii) macroeconomic variables (economic activity, foreign exchange rate, interest rate and inflation rate). The results indicate the importance of input costs (domestic and imported) and the macroeconomic variables (especially the exchange rate and the inflation rate) in the expected price dynamics of the analyzed companies and are in line with the literature analyzing price setting behaviour under macroeconomic uncertainty. 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