{"id":8891,"date":"2025-12-15T12:32:00","date_gmt":"2025-12-15T15:32:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/?p=8891"},"modified":"2025-12-15T12:32:02","modified_gmt":"2025-12-15T15:32:02","slug":"impactos-regionales-ante-shocks-comerciales-analisis-de-corto-y-largo-plazo","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/?p=8891","title":{"rendered":"IMPACTOS REGIONALES ANTE SHOCKS COMERCIALES  An\u00e1lisis de Corto y Largo Plazo"},"content":{"rendered":"<iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wonderplugin-pdf-iframe\" src=\"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/wp-content\/plugins\/wonderplugin-pdf-embed\/pdfjslight\/web\/viewer.html?v=2&file=https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/works\/works2025\/4781.pdf\" width=\"100%\" height=\"600px\" style=\"border:0;\"><\/iframe>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>China, desde su entrada a la Organizaci\u00f3n Mundial del Comercio en  2001, ha extendido y fortalecido v\u00ednculos comerciales con todo el mundo.  Argentina no fue la excepci\u00f3n: con el paso del tiempo, China se transform\u00f3  en el segundo socio comercial m\u00e1s importante, luego de Brasil.  El presente trabajo analiza el impacto que tuvieron las importaciones  de Argentina provenientes de China para diferentes subper\u00edodos  comprendidos entre 1999 y 2022, teniendo en cuenta el grado diferente de  exposici\u00f3n a las importaciones de las provincias argentinas. Se analizan los  efectos en variables de empleo, salarios y entrada\/salida de firmas.  Mediante variaciones espaciales en el grado de exposici\u00f3n a las  importaciones, dada la especializaci\u00f3n industrial de cada provincia, se  estudia c\u00f3mo los mercados laborales locales argentinos se ajustan a la  competencia de importaciones chinas. En dicho contexto, para captar efectos  a corto y largo plazo, el an\u00e1lisis del modelo principal se centra en cinco  subper\u00edodos, 1999-2004, 1999-2006, 1999-2010, 1999-2012, 1999-2022,  siendo este \u00faltimo el periodo completo de an\u00e1lisis.  El an\u00e1lisis de los resultados indica que una mayor exposici\u00f3n a las  importaciones de China contribuye a efectos negativos m\u00e1s relevantes en la  din\u00e1mica de empleo, salarios y firmas de las provincias argentinas.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[29],"tags":[33],"class_list":["post-8891","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-anales","tag-aaep-anales-2025"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>IMPACTOS REGIONALES ANTE SHOCKS COMERCIALES An\u00e1lisis de Corto y Largo Plazo - Asociaci\u00f3n Argentina de Econom\u00eda Pol\u00edtica<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"IMPACTOS REGIONALES ANTE SHOCKS COMERCIALES An\u00e1lisis de Corto y Largo Plazo - Asociaci\u00f3n Argentina de Econom\u00eda Pol\u00edtica\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"China, desde su entrada a la Organizaci\u00f3n Mundial del Comercio en 2001, ha extendido y fortalecido v\u00ednculos comerciales con todo el mundo. Argentina no fue la excepci\u00f3n: con el paso del tiempo, China se transform\u00f3 en el segundo socio comercial m\u00e1s importante, luego de Brasil. El presente trabajo analiza el impacto que tuvieron las importaciones de Argentina provenientes de China para diferentes subper\u00edodos comprendidos entre 1999 y 2022, teniendo en cuenta el grado diferente de exposici\u00f3n a las importaciones de las provincias argentinas. Se analizan los efectos en variables de empleo, salarios y entrada\/salida de firmas. Mediante variaciones espaciales en el grado de exposici\u00f3n a las importaciones, dada la especializaci\u00f3n industrial de cada provincia, se estudia c\u00f3mo los mercados laborales locales argentinos se ajustan a la competencia de importaciones chinas. En dicho contexto, para captar efectos a corto y largo plazo, el an\u00e1lisis del modelo principal se centra en cinco subper\u00edodos, 1999-2004, 1999-2006, 1999-2010, 1999-2012, 1999-2022, siendo este \u00faltimo el periodo completo de an\u00e1lisis. El an\u00e1lisis de los resultados indica que una mayor exposici\u00f3n a las importaciones de China contribuye a efectos negativos m\u00e1s relevantes en la din\u00e1mica de empleo, salarios y firmas de las provincias argentinas.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/?p=8891\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Asociaci\u00f3n Argentina de Econom\u00eda Pol\u00edtica\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-12-15T15:32:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-12-15T15:32:02+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"aaepolitica\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@aaepoficial\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@aaepoficial\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Escrito por\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"aaepolitica\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aaep.org.ar\\\/?p=8891#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aaep.org.ar\\\/?p=8891\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"aaepolitica\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aaep.org.ar\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/7150b747ba20875259c74b2cd177316c\"},\"headline\":\"IMPACTOS REGIONALES ANTE SHOCKS COMERCIALES An\u00e1lisis de Corto y Largo Plazo\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-12-15T15:32:00+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-12-15T15:32:02+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aaep.org.ar\\\/?p=8891\"},\"wordCount\":27,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aaep.org.ar\\\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"AAEP Anales 2025\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Anales\"],\"inLanguage\":\"es\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aaep.org.ar\\\/?p=8891\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aaep.org.ar\\\/?p=8891\",\"name\":\"IMPACTOS REGIONALES ANTE SHOCKS COMERCIALES An\u00e1lisis de Corto y Largo Plazo - 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