{"id":9157,"date":"2025-12-15T20:59:58","date_gmt":"2025-12-15T23:59:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/?p=9157"},"modified":"2025-12-15T20:59:59","modified_gmt":"2025-12-15T23:59:59","slug":"tracking-the-short-run-price-impact-of-u-s-tariffs","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/?p=9157","title":{"rendered":"Tracking the Short-Run Price Impact of U.S. Tariffs"},"content":{"rendered":"<iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wonderplugin-pdf-iframe\" src=\"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/wp-content\/plugins\/wonderplugin-pdf-embed\/pdfjslight\/web\/viewer.html?v=2&file=https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/works\/works2025\/4844.pdf\" width=\"100%\" height=\"600px\" style=\"border:0;\"><\/iframe>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This paper examines the short-run impact of the 2025 U.S. tariffs on consumer prices using a novel integration of high-frequency retail pricing data, product-level country-of-origin information, and detailed tariff classifications. By linking daily prices from major U.S. retailers to Harmonized System (HS) codes and import origins, we construct custom price indices that isolate the direct effects of tariff changes across product categories and trading partners. Our analysis reveals rapid pricing responses, though their magnitude remains modest relative to the announced tariff rates and varies by country of origin. Both imported and domestic goods are affected, suggesting broader pricing and supply chain spillovers. These findings offer timely evidence for policymakers, businesses, and consumers navigating the immediate consequences of trade policy changes.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[29],"tags":[33],"class_list":["post-9157","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-anales","tag-aaep-anales-2025"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Tracking the Short-Run Price Impact of U.S. Tariffs - Asociaci\u00f3n Argentina de Econom\u00eda Pol\u00edtica<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Tracking the Short-Run Price Impact of U.S. Tariffs - Asociaci\u00f3n Argentina de Econom\u00eda Pol\u00edtica\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"This paper examines the short-run impact of the 2025 U.S. tariffs on consumer prices using a novel integration of high-frequency retail pricing data, product-level country-of-origin information, and detailed tariff classifications. By linking daily prices from major U.S. retailers to Harmonized System (HS) codes and import origins, we construct custom price indices that isolate the direct effects of tariff changes across product categories and trading partners. Our analysis reveals rapid pricing responses, though their magnitude remains modest relative to the announced tariff rates and varies by country of origin. Both imported and domestic goods are affected, suggesting broader pricing and supply chain spillovers. These findings offer timely evidence for policymakers, businesses, and consumers navigating the immediate consequences of trade policy changes.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/?p=9157\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Asociaci\u00f3n Argentina de Econom\u00eda Pol\u00edtica\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-12-15T23:59:58+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-12-15T23:59:59+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"aaepolitica\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@aaepoficial\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@aaepoficial\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Escrito por\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"aaepolitica\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aaep.org.ar\\\/?p=9157#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aaep.org.ar\\\/?p=9157\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"aaepolitica\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aaep.org.ar\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/7150b747ba20875259c74b2cd177316c\"},\"headline\":\"Tracking the Short-Run Price Impact of U.S. Tariffs\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-12-15T23:59:58+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-12-15T23:59:59+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aaep.org.ar\\\/?p=9157\"},\"wordCount\":24,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aaep.org.ar\\\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"AAEP Anales 2025\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Anales\"],\"inLanguage\":\"es\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aaep.org.ar\\\/?p=9157\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aaep.org.ar\\\/?p=9157\",\"name\":\"Tracking the Short-Run Price Impact of U.S. Tariffs - Asociaci\u00f3n Argentina de Econom\u00eda Pol\u00edtica\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aaep.org.ar\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2025-12-15T23:59:58+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-12-15T23:59:59+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aaep.org.ar\\\/?p=9157#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"es\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/aaep.org.ar\\\/?p=9157\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aaep.org.ar\\\/?p=9157#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Portada\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aaep.org.ar\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Tracking the Short-Run Price Impact of U.S. Tariffs\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aaep.org.ar\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aaep.org.ar\\\/\",\"name\":\"Asociaci\u00f3n Argentina de Econom\u00eda Pol\u00edtica\",\"description\":\"Asociaci\u00f3n Argentina de Econom\u00eda Pol\u00edtica\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aaep.org.ar\\\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aaep.org.ar\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"es\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aaep.org.ar\\\/#organization\",\"name\":\"Asociaci\u00f3n Argentina de Econom\u00eda Pol\u00edtica\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aaep.org.ar\\\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"es\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aaep.org.ar\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aaep.org.ar\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2022\\\/05\\\/cropped-aaep_logo.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aaep.org.ar\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2022\\\/05\\\/cropped-aaep_logo.png\",\"width\":74,\"height\":49,\"caption\":\"Asociaci\u00f3n Argentina de Econom\u00eda Pol\u00edtica\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aaep.org.ar\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/x.com\\\/aaepoficial\",\"https:\\\/\\\/www.instagram.com\\\/aaepoficial\\\/\"]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aaep.org.ar\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/7150b747ba20875259c74b2cd177316c\",\"name\":\"aaepolitica\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"es\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/secure.gravatar.com\\\/avatar\\\/b4c835a24b26f7310194c9c19eee26567492d7a70e27fc0adad2d6b1983478c9?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/secure.gravatar.com\\\/avatar\\\/b4c835a24b26f7310194c9c19eee26567492d7a70e27fc0adad2d6b1983478c9?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/secure.gravatar.com\\\/avatar\\\/b4c835a24b26f7310194c9c19eee26567492d7a70e27fc0adad2d6b1983478c9?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"aaepolitica\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/aaep.org.ar\"]}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Tracking the Short-Run Price Impact of U.S. Tariffs - Asociaci\u00f3n Argentina de Econom\u00eda Pol\u00edtica","robots":{"index":"noindex","follow":"follow"},"og_locale":"es_ES","og_type":"article","og_title":"Tracking the Short-Run Price Impact of U.S. Tariffs - Asociaci\u00f3n Argentina de Econom\u00eda Pol\u00edtica","og_description":"This paper examines the short-run impact of the 2025 U.S. tariffs on consumer prices using a novel integration of high-frequency retail pricing data, product-level country-of-origin information, and detailed tariff classifications. By linking daily prices from major U.S. retailers to Harmonized System (HS) codes and import origins, we construct custom price indices that isolate the direct effects of tariff changes across product categories and trading partners. Our analysis reveals rapid pricing responses, though their magnitude remains modest relative to the announced tariff rates and varies by country of origin. Both imported and domestic goods are affected, suggesting broader pricing and supply chain spillovers. These findings offer timely evidence for policymakers, businesses, and consumers navigating the immediate consequences of trade policy changes.","og_url":"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/?p=9157","og_site_name":"Asociaci\u00f3n Argentina de Econom\u00eda Pol\u00edtica","article_published_time":"2025-12-15T23:59:58+00:00","article_modified_time":"2025-12-15T23:59:59+00:00","author":"aaepolitica","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@aaepoficial","twitter_site":"@aaepoficial","twitter_misc":{"Escrito por":"aaepolitica"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/?p=9157#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/?p=9157"},"author":{"name":"aaepolitica","@id":"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/#\/schema\/person\/7150b747ba20875259c74b2cd177316c"},"headline":"Tracking the Short-Run Price Impact of U.S. Tariffs","datePublished":"2025-12-15T23:59:58+00:00","dateModified":"2025-12-15T23:59:59+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/?p=9157"},"wordCount":24,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/#organization"},"keywords":["AAEP Anales 2025"],"articleSection":["Anales"],"inLanguage":"es"},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/?p=9157","url":"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/?p=9157","name":"Tracking the Short-Run Price Impact of U.S. Tariffs - Asociaci\u00f3n Argentina de Econom\u00eda Pol\u00edtica","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/#website"},"datePublished":"2025-12-15T23:59:58+00:00","dateModified":"2025-12-15T23:59:59+00:00","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/?p=9157#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"es","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/?p=9157"]}]},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/?p=9157#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Portada","item":"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Tracking the Short-Run Price Impact of U.S. Tariffs"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/#website","url":"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/","name":"Asociaci\u00f3n Argentina de Econom\u00eda Pol\u00edtica","description":"Asociaci\u00f3n Argentina de Econom\u00eda Pol\u00edtica","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"es"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/#organization","name":"Asociaci\u00f3n Argentina de Econom\u00eda Pol\u00edtica","url":"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"es","@id":"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/cropped-aaep_logo.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/cropped-aaep_logo.png","width":74,"height":49,"caption":"Asociaci\u00f3n Argentina de Econom\u00eda Pol\u00edtica"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/x.com\/aaepoficial","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/aaepoficial\/"]},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/#\/schema\/person\/7150b747ba20875259c74b2cd177316c","name":"aaepolitica","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"es","@id":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/b4c835a24b26f7310194c9c19eee26567492d7a70e27fc0adad2d6b1983478c9?s=96&d=mm&r=g","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/b4c835a24b26f7310194c9c19eee26567492d7a70e27fc0adad2d6b1983478c9?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/b4c835a24b26f7310194c9c19eee26567492d7a70e27fc0adad2d6b1983478c9?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"aaepolitica"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/aaep.org.ar"]}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9157","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=9157"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9157\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9159,"href":"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9157\/revisions\/9159"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=9157"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=9157"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/aaep.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=9157"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}